{"id":6914,"date":"2012-08-27T10:06:45","date_gmt":"2012-08-27T04:36:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.greenworldinvestor.com\/?p=6914"},"modified":"2012-08-27T10:06:45","modified_gmt":"2012-08-27T04:36:45","slug":"the-best-chinese-solar-companies-heavily-outperform-the-badly-managed-over-debted-solar-firms-in-2012-as-mr-market-prices-in-bankruptcy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/2012\/08\/27\/the-best-chinese-solar-companies-heavily-outperform-the-badly-managed-over-debted-solar-firms-in-2012-as-mr-market-prices-in-bankruptcy\/","title":{"rendered":"The Best Chinese Solar Companies heavily Outperform the Badly Managed Over Debted Solar Firms in 2012 as Mr. Market Prices in Bankruptcy"},"content":{"rendered":"

The whole solar panel industry<\/strong> has been in a tailspin as the massive solar glut takes toll of the whole industry. The industry downturn which started in 2011 has not stopped as solar panel prices have crashed to new all time lows with European demand pull in ending and inventories building up. While many of the solar panel companies have gone bankrupt, many of the high cost industry dinosaurs continue to live surviving on the generosity of their home governments. Not only China, but also other countries like France, Italy, USA have perpetuated the oversupply and distorting of solar economics. However the Market has started asserting its power with the badly managed, over indebted solar companies showing greater distress and bigger losses.<\/p>\n

While the better managed ones are increasing marketshare and showing resilience, the worst companies like LDK and Suntech are close to failure. The YTD stock performance has started to reflect the realities with some of the good companies like Renesola showing a massive out-performance compared to the worst ones like LDK (75% return of SOL long compared to LDK short). Canadian Solar has also been a notable out-performer as it has gained a massive amount of marketshare at the expense of other top solar panel manufacturers like Suntech.<\/p>\n

The earlier article on GWI for selecting Solar Stocks in 2012 has been working well.<\/p>\n

So what are the criteria for staying alive in 2012<\/strong><\/p>\n

a) Government Support in Some Form<\/strong> \u2013 Most of the Tier 1 Chinese<\/strong> Solar Companies<\/strong> <\/a>will fall into this bracket. However given that there are so many, you would have to look at the biggest like Suntech, LDK, Yingli for survival in any case. LDK is a BANKRUPT COMPANY, the only reason it continues to produce a solar panel is because of the Chinese Government support.<\/p>\n

b) Low Cost<\/strong> \u2013 Though seems like an obvious idea, there are still companies existing which have high costs like Q-Cells, REC. You just can\u2019t invest in them given that even low cost is a necessity though not sufficient condition to survive.<\/p>\n

c) Branding<\/strong> \u2013 Very necessary to get financing for solar projects as without a brand you are not bankable and will have to sell at a 10% discount in a market which is already selling at below cost.<\/p>\n

d) Efficiency and R&D Dollars<\/strong> \u2013 If you sell a low efficiency multi-crystalline solar panel, then you are toast given that the market is now only looking at higher efficiency stuff given that choice that buyers have. You also need to spend sufficient R&D dollars to get ahead of the competition in reducing costs and increasing efficiency. Smaller solar companies are at a disadvantage here.<\/p>\n

f) Low Debt<\/strong> \u2013 Not Necessary if you are LDK and have a Sugar Daddy like the Chinese Development Bank but very important for every other solar company. Trina Solar shines in this respect, Suntech does not.<\/p>\n

The survivors of the solar consolidation will see the low cost, low debt players thrive and grow when the huge legacy capacities of the weaker players like LDK, Suntech are eventually taken out. Other big high cost players in Europe and Japan like Solarworld and Sharp are too showing signs of bankruptcy with their share prices flirting with new all time lows.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

http:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/charts?s=CSIQ#symbol=csiq;range=ytd;compare=fslr+stp+ldk+sol;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined<\/a><\/p>\n

Here is a complete list of solar stocks<\/a> (note some like Q-Cells have gone bankrupt)<\/p>\n

USA Stock Exchange<\/strong><\/p>\n

Chinese Companies<\/strong><\/p>\n

Canadian Solar Inc. CSIQ
\nChina Sunergy Co., Ltd. (ADR) CSUN
\nJA Solar Holdings Co., Ltd. (ADR) JASO
\nYingli Green Energy Hold. Co. Ltd. (ADR) YGE
\nLDK Solar Co., Ltd. LDK
\nSuntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd. (ADR) STP
\nTrina Solar Limited (ADR) TSL
\nReneSola Ltd. (ADR) SOL
\nHanwha Solarone Co Ltd HSOL
\nJinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. JKS
\nDaqo New Energy Corp. DQ<\/p>\n

USA Solar Power Companies<\/strong><\/p>\n

MEMC Electronic Materials, Inc. WFR
\nEvergreen Solar, Inc. ESLR
\nFirst Solar, Inc. FSLR
\nHoku Corporation HOKU
\nAkeena Solar, Inc. WEST
\nAscent Solar Technologies, Inc. ASTI
\nReal Goods Solar, Inc. RSOL
\nEnergy Conversion Devices, Inc. ENER
\nSunPower Corporation SPWRA
\nGT Solar International, Inc. SOLR
\nSTR Holdings, Inc. STRI
\nApplied Materials AMAT
\nSatCon Technology Corporation SATC
\nPower-One PWER
\nAdvanced Energy AEIS
\nEmcore EMKR<\/p>\n

Solar ETFs<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. Guggenheim Solar TAN
\n2. Market Vectors Solar Energy KWT<\/p>\n

Canadian Stock Exchange<\/strong><\/p>\n

5N Plus<\/p>\n

European Stock Exchanges<\/strong><\/p>\n

Germany<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. Solarworld
\n2. Q-Cells
\n3. Centrosolar
\n4. Sunways
\n5. Colexon Energy
\n6. Solar-Fabrik
\n7. Wacker
\n8. Solon
\n9. Bosch
\n10. Phoenix Solar
\n11. Juwi Solar
\n12. Solaria Energie (Spain)
\n13. Kerself (Italy)
\n14. Renewable Energy Corporation (Norway)<\/p>\n

Solar Inverters<\/strong><\/p>\n

SMA-Solar<\/p>\n

Solar Equipment Stocks<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. Meyer Burger
\n2. Oerlikon
\n3. Roth&Rau
\n4. Centrotherm
\n5. Manz Automation<\/p>\n

Asian Stock Exchange<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hong Kong<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. GCL Poly
\n2. Trony Solar
\n3. Singyes Solar
\n4. Comtec Solar<\/p>\n

Taiwan<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. E-Ton
\n2. Gintech
\n3. Motech
\n4. Del Solar
\n5. Neo Solar<\/p>\n

India<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. Moser Baer
\n2. IndoSolar
\n3. XL Power<\/p>\n

South Korea<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. OCI Chemicals
\n2. Woongjin Conway<\/p>\n

Japan<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. Sharp
\n2. Kyocera
\n3. Panasonic
\n4. Mitsubishi
\n5. Toshiba
\n6. Solar Frontier<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The whole solar panel industry has been in a tailspin as the massive solar glut takes toll of the whole industry. The industry downturn which started [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[80,45,52],"tags":[598,772,1071,2243,3365,4219,4229,4266,4609,5099,5324,5630],"class_list":["post-6914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-world-markets","category-solar-renewable-energy-greeninvest","category-solar-panels","tag-bankrupt","tag-brand","tag-chinese-development-bank","tag-government","tag-ldk","tag-q-cells","tag-rd","tag-rec","tag-sharp","tag-solar-stocks","tag-suntech","tag-trina-solar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6914","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6914"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6914\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6914"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6914"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6914"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}