{"id":363,"date":"2010-05-17T20:41:48","date_gmt":"2010-05-17T15:11:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/greenworldinvestor.com\/?p=363"},"modified":"2010-05-17T20:41:48","modified_gmt":"2010-05-17T15:11:48","slug":"will-china-devalue-yuan-against-the-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/2010\/05\/17\/will-china-devalue-yuan-against-the-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Will China &quot;Devalue&quot; Yuan against the Dollar?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Euro&#8217;s rapid 15% decline against the Euro has had an important side effect against the Yuan which is pegged to the dollar.While currencies around the world are depreciating against the dollar due to &#8220;safe haven&#8221; trade,the yuan remains immune,due to its peg to the dollar.Europe is China&#8217;s biggest export market throwing a number of its companies in peril due to the Greek Contagion . A 15% movement in currency makes it very difficult for a company to adjust particularly if it is running on paper thin margins.A Chinese company with 10% margins which exports solely to Europe has the potential to go bankrupt if the situation sustains for a long time.<\/p>\n<p>I think it might not be inconceivable for the yuan to devalue against the dollar for the Chinese\u00a0 to save their massive employment generating export industries. Note unlike a lot of the US companies , most of the Chinese exports are commodities which have much lower margins. Another direct effect has been that it makes the Europeans industries more competitive . However I think the weakness in Euro is not a singular event rather it will be followed by more seismic changes in currency.Managing currency risk is becoming more important for export industries than managing their operations these days.<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2010\/05\/18\/business\/global\/18yuan.html\">Europe\u2019s Debt Crisis Is Casting a Shadow  Over China &#8211; NT Times<\/a><\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>The pain of the European debt crisis is spreading, with the plummeting  euro making Chinese companies less competitive in Europe, their largest  market, and complicating any move to break the Chinese currency\u2019s peg  to the dollar.<\/p>\n<p>Chinese policy makers reached a consensus last month about breaking the  dollar peg. But allowing the renminbi, which is also known as the yuan,  to rise against the dollar now would mean a further increase in the  renminbi\u2019s level against the euro, creating even more problems for  Chinese exporters to Europe.<\/p>\n<p>The euro has plunged against the renminbi in recent weeks, at one point  Monday reaching its lowest level since late 2002.<\/p>\n<p>The steep rise of the renminbi prompted a Commerce Ministry official in  Beijing to warn Monday that China\u2019s exports could be threatened. The  official\u2019s comments, the most explicit yet on the implications for China  of Europe\u2019s recent financial difficulties, suggest that even the  world&#8217;s fastest-growing major economy, and increasingly the engine of  global growth, is not immune to the crisis that started in Greece and  threatens to spread across much of Europe.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe yuan has risen about 14.5 percent against the euro during the past  four months, which will increase cost pressure for Chinese exporters and  also have a negative impact on China\u2019s exports to European countries,\u201d  Yao Jian, the ministry\u2019s spokesman, said at a news conference in  Beijing, according to news services.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Euro&#8217;s rapid 15% decline against the Euro has had an important side effect against the Yuan which is pegged to the dollar.While currencies around the<span class=\"excerpt-hellip\"> [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[80,87,105,70],"tags":[1070,1512,1803,6222],"class_list":["post-363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-china-world-markets","category-europe-world-markets","category-usa-north-america-world-markets","category-world-markets","tag-chinese","tag-dollar","tag-euro","tag-yuan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=363"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}