{"id":16384,"date":"2014-12-12T10:05:07","date_gmt":"2014-12-12T04:35:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.greenworldinvestor.com\/?p=16384"},"modified":"2014-12-12T10:05:07","modified_gmt":"2014-12-12T04:35:07","slug":"high-efficiency-polycrystalline-cells-to-be-in-a-big-shortage-in-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/2014\/12\/12\/high-efficiency-polycrystalline-cells-to-be-in-a-big-shortage-in-2015\/","title":{"rendered":"High efficiency polycrystalline cells to be in a big shortage in 2015"},"content":{"rendered":"

2015<\/strong> may be a flat year in terms of solar demand growth with two of the largest markets Japan<\/strong> and China<\/strong> showing declining to flat demand respectively. Other markets such as India and USA will not pick up sharply enough to offset the fall in demand from Japan. However, the market is set to see a huge shortage in supply of high efficiency solar cells,<\/strong> made using multi-crystalline technology with efficiency of 18%.<\/em> Most of the cell have 16-17% efficiency<\/strong> which will not see much shortage, as they are used in utility projects. But the higher efficiency poly cells which are used in industrial and commercial<\/em> rooftops will see a shortage. They have a sweet spot in terms of cost and efficiency. While monocrystalline cells will also have a good demand-supply picture, they won\u2019t be in drastic shortage as their overall demand is lower due to their higher costs.<\/p>\n

Companies from Taiwan<\/strong> are known for producing high efficiency poly cells and they should benefit from this trend. Most Chinese companies especially Tier 2 do not have the technology and expertise to manufacture high efficiency poly cells. They will continue to see pressure on their demand and pricing. Apart from controlling costs, it has become increasingly important to increase the efficiency of solar products due to market demand. While the large Tier 1 Chinese producers have the money and capability to invest in better equipment, the smaller Chinese companies will flounder.<\/p>\n

Read more about Taiwanese manufacturers<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n

Forecast solar cell supply and demand, 2015<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Type of solar cell<\/strong><\/td>\n\n

Energy conversion rate<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Power generation for a PV module (W)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Forecast global supply (GWp)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

Forecast global demand (GWp)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Monocrystalline silicon<\/td>\n\n

19.8-20.5%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

275-285<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

about 2.5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

about 3.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Polycrystalline silicon<\/td>\n\n

17.8-18.2%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

155-260<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

about 5.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

about 15.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Polycrystalline silicon<\/td>\n\n

17.6%<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

250-255<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

about 11.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n

\n

about 12.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Source: Taiwan-based supply chain makers, compiled by Digitimes, December 2014<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2015 may be a flat year in terms of solar demand growth with two of the largest markets Japan and China showing declining to flat demand [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[45,104],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-solar-renewable-energy-greeninvest","category-taiwan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16384","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16384"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16384\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16384"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16384"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iiec-india.org\/greenworld\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16384"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}